Let's assume conservatively that the constituencies will be equal to the number of provinces.
Let's also assume, as a simplifying measure, that the constituencies will all be given the same number of members of parliament to elect.
So, dividing the number of parliamentarians in the bozza Chiti - 400 - by 103, we get 3.88 MPs to be elected per constituency.
The effective threshold per constituency is therefore: 75% / (3.88 + 1) = 15.36%.
Now, the effective threshold at the constituency level is not a good estimate of the effective threshold at national level. Rein Taagepeera, in a 2002 Electoral Studies article, suggests that the nationwide threshold is equal to:
- effective constituency threshold / (square root of number of districts), or
- 15.36 / 1o3 ^ 0.5 = 15.36 / 10.15 = 1.51%